The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President by Allan Lichtman
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With The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book, prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860―including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush’s reelection―Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book.
About the author
Allan J. Lichtman received his PhD from Harvard University in 1973 and is currently Distinguished Professor of History at American University in Washington, D.C. He specializes in American political history and the presidency. Dr. Lichtman has authored or co-authored nine
books, and hundreds of scholarly and popular articles. His latest book is The Case for Impeachment (Dey Street books, 2017), was an independent book store best seller, an Amazon.com bestseller in several academic categories, and a Newsweek, best new book release.
Dr. Lichtman’s book FDR and the Jews (Harvard, 2013, with Richard Breitman), won the National Jewish Book Award in American Jewish History. It was a 2013 New York Times editor’s choice, and a finalist for the Los Angeles Times Book Prize in History. His book, White
Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement (Grove/Atlantic 2008), was a finalist for the National Book Critics Circle Award in non-fiction. The Teaching Company
produced his video lectures on Great Presidents as part of their “Great Courses” series.
Dr. Lichtman is the co-developer of the Keys system that has successfully predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1984. In September 2016, he defied the conventional wisdom to predict the election of Donald Trump. In early 2016, Rowman & Littlefield published the sixth edition of his Keys book series, Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016.
Dr. Lichtman has lectured extensively in the United States and abroad. He has provided commentary for all major television and radio outlets and is regularly quoted by leading newspapers and magazines worldwide. He has served as an expert witness in more than 90 federal civil rights cases, including recent landmark cases challenging restrictive voting laws in North Carolina and Texas. As an expert for the U. S. Commission on Civil Rights Dr. Lichtman discovered that the outcome of the 2000 presidential election turned on the vast disparity in rates
at which officials rejected ballots cast by blacks and whites in Florida. Dr. Lichtman received the American University Scholar/Teacher of the year award for 1992-3, the University’s highest
academic honor.
